TIP123: MOMENTUM INVESTING (PART II)

W/ WESLEY GRAY

25 March 2017

In this episode, Preston and Stig continue their conversation with Dr. Wesley Gray. Dr. Gray is an experienced value investor that has conducted extensive research and backtesting on various types of hybrid investing approaches. In particular, Dr. Gray has found that momentum investing has increased portfolio returns when combined with a value based strategy. If you missed the first part of the interview, you will want to go back and listen to episode 122.

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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

  • Why value investors have the perfect temperament to follow a momentum strategy.
  • If investors can improve their momentum strategy by individual stock picking.
  • Why Wesley Gray is long US stocks though he believes they are highly overvalued.
  • Ask the Investors: Why and when you should consider shorting the S&P500.
  • Ask the Investors: What moment did you decided to become a lifelong learner?

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TRANSCRIPT

Disclaimer: The transcript that follows has been generated using artificial intelligence. We strive to be as accurate as possible, but minor errors and slightly off timestamps may be present due to platform differences.

Preston Pysh  0:05  

Today’s episode is brought to you by FreshBooks. 

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Intro  0:25  

Broadcasting from Bel Air, Maryland, this is The Investor’s Podcast. They’ll read the books and summarize the lessons. They’ll test the waters and tell you when it’s cold. They’ll give you actionable investing strategies. Your hosts, Preston Pysh and Stig Brodersen!

Preston Pysh  0:55  

All right, how’s everybody doing out there? This is Preston Pysh. I’m your host for The Investor’s Podcast. And as usual, I’m accompanied by my co-host Stig Brodersen out in Seoul, South Korea. 

We are back with the second part interview with Dr. Wesley Gray. And Dr. Gray comes to us with a wealth of information and experience. He understands value investing momentum investing. He’s written four books. If you didn’t catch our first part interview with Wes last week, which was episode 122, you really need to go back and start there before you listen to this episode, because you’re going to be coming into the middle of a conversation and some of it’s not going to make sense. And if you’re a hardcore value investor like myself, you might come in a little biased and not really understand the full context of what it is that we’re discussing. So I’d really challenge you to go back and listen to the previous episode before listening to this one. 

So Wes, let’s go ahead and pick up where we left off. Stig has the first question.

Stig Brodersen  1:55  

Wes, investors might be interested in momentum investing. But for various reasons, because due to perhaps the cost structure, they might not be inclined to own a large basket of stocks and they might also like the process of conducting research on the individual stock picks. So the thing I’m curious about is does it make sense for the investor to spend time on individual momentum picks to improve returns? And if so, how would he or she look at the individual pick?

Wesley Gray  2:27  

If you’re trying to develop a basket of momentum stocks to capture momentum exposure, there’s no evidence whatsoever that I’ve ever seen, where if you kind of like want to look at quality let’s say, like we see some high momentum names. We want to go in there and try to pick the highest quality based on some fundamental analysis. The cold hard truth, as far as we see it and what the data says, is fundamental analysis does not matte when it comes to momentum. Like its momentum is what matters.

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