TIP186: THE BITCOIN DEBATE (PART II)

W/ TUUR DEMEESTER & ERIK TOWNSEND

14 April 2018

This is part II of our Crypto Debate.  In one corner we have Tuur Demeester. Tuur has been an investor in Bitcoin since the early days when one coin was only $5. Since his initial position, Bitcoin has grown by 132,000%. Tuur has a huge following with over 159,000 twitter followers because of his in-depth ideas and comments about cryptocurrencies. On the other side of the argument, we have the talented Erik Townsend. Erik is the host of a very popular investing podcast called Macro Voices. Erik got his start as a computer programmer and by the age of 17, he was already an independent software development and design consultant. Erik is an entrepreneur that has built successful tech companies and he’s also the founder of his own global macro hedge fund.

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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

  • Why and how a new government-controlled cryptocurrency might close down tax havens.
  • Why history shows that governments might eventually accept Bitcoin.
  • How to understand the features of the Lightning Network.

TRANSCRIPT

Disclaimer: The transcript that follows has been generated using artificial intelligence. We strive to be as accurate as possible, but minor errors and slightly off timestamps may be present due to platform differences.

Preston Pysh
On this week’s show, we continue our Bitcoin and crypto debate with Erik Townsend and Tuur Demeester.

If you missed the first part of our conversation, you’ll definitely want to go back and listen to Episode 185. First, because some of the comments might not make sense or be a little bit confusing if you start right here. If you’re ready to start the second part episode, sit back, and we hope you enjoy it.

Intro
You are listening to The Investor’s Podcast where we study the financial markets and read the books that influenced self-made billionaires the most. We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.

I’m sure both of you guys see vulnerabilities or weaknesses or issues with moving forward with Bitcoin. I kind of want to highlight that both of you think that those concerns are.

Erik, since you’re the main critic, you can lead this one. What’s wrong with Bitcoin and why do you think that it’s not here to stay?

Erik Townsend 0:28
Well, ironically, I think that the biggest criticisms I have of Bitcoin are actually its biggest features. I happen to love those features. Let’s start with what those are.

Bitcoin is designed so that you make a payment and that payment is persistent. It’s a done deal. Nobody can undo it. There’s no charge back where the bank decides to unwind the transaction. Once you’ve been paid, you’ve been paid. It’s solid. Nobody can unwind it.

That also means governments cannot tax, control or monitor your transactions. They can actually monitor the transactions on the Bitcoin network, but it’s anonymous. They don’t know who owns the wallets. There’s no way for them to seize the wallets. There’s no way for them to freeze accounts or void transactions, or claw back transactions. It’s all designed to prevent governments from doing any of those things.

I think unfortunately, those are all the reasons that it will be outlawed. Now, again, just to go on record, I personally hope to be proven dead wrong on this. I would love to see Bitcoin be successful at providing a payment system that protects the good people of the world from the overreach of government power.

However, I don’t think it’s going to happen. I think that governments are going to design the opposite system, which does everything the opposite of how Bitcoin does it. So everything is controllable by the government, everything is feasible. Everything is controllable, everything is reversible, everything is under government control.

As soon as they begin to build that system that implements those features, I predict that they will outlaw Bitcoin. There will be safe havens that like Bitcoin and say you can do your Bitcoin transactions here…

What I think eventually happens is the other governments of the world will come back and say, “Look, we’re going to build this global payment system. It’s going to replace the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. It is going to be the new currency in which all sovereign debt is denominated. Governments are going to control the whole thing. Among other things, what we’re going to do is finally solve this problem of tax havens around the world.”

So every transaction on the global payment system has to have the tax ID of the payer, and the payee of every transaction. Guess what? That means that you’ve got to have a country code. Think of it like a phone number that has a country code at the beginning of it.

If it’s US, that’s going to be plus one is your country code for US. Then it’s your social security number. If you’re in the UK, it’s whatever their tax ID number is. If you are in the Cayman Islands, I think that the rest of the world is going to say, “Guess what? We recognize the Cayman Islands as a tax haven. We’re tired of their crap. We’re not going to let you use a Cayman Islands ID. We know you weren’t really born there. You’re going to have to use the tax ID of the country you were born in and not the one that you naturalized in later in order to avoid taxes.”

I think that they will cite one of the main features of this new government’s control the digital currency system, as basically solving the problem of drug dealers and terrorists financing their dirty dealings with cryptocurrency.

They’re going to label Bitcoin as the tool of terrorists. Then they’re going to say, ‘We can solve the problem of tax havens, we can finally make the 1% that is cheating you by not paying their fair share of taxes accountable. We’re going to nail the tax cheats by eliminating these things, and then suddenly, those safe haven countries like the Cayman Islands will have to play ball in order to participate in the global payment system.”

Again, I absolutely don’t like anything that I’m saying. I think it’s a really horrible outcome for civilization if I’m right.

Unfortunately, I think the governments have the power, the wherewithal and the desire to do the things that I’m describing.

Preston Pysh 4:58
Erik, I had a long position. n Bitcoin. We did an episode back in 2015. I took a position in Bitcoin. I held it clear up till December of 2017. I sold my position in December.

I had a substantial tax bill that I had to pay. You better believe I paid the tax bill because I don’t want to have to deal with that chaos. I think that other Americans or other people that have been dealing in cryptocurrencies, if they had a large tax bill, they paid their tax bill.

For me, whenever I thought through the situation, not that I would ever not pay my tax bill, but it’s like, they know exactly what’s happening with these exchanges that are operating. I think the only tax loophole here to your point for people is if they’re mining Bitcoins. They’re not doing it through a pool.

They’re receiving bitcoins straight off of the blockchain and no one knows that they’re operating that address. That’s pretty much the only way that you’re able to do something. The government would never be able to track that, but if you’re dealing with an exchange, the government’s are tracking all that.

I’m sure the government collected a hefty amount of taxes from people that have been dealing with cryptocurrencies here in the United States in the past year.

I’m curious, do you think that maybe the exchanges are the points where the government’s will allow this because that’s where they can basically keep track of people that are making money and people that are losing money?

Erik Townsend 6:21
Well, from a tactical standpoint, first of all, historically, IRS records indicate that very, very few people have been responsible as you were in paying their tax bills.

What they’re starting to do is they’re using the exchanges as the point of control that they are surveilling in order to try to keep people accountable to those tax liabilities.

I think you’re absolutely right, but I see this is very small… Tight now, kind of chapter in the story. Longer term, everything Bitcoin is set to do, governments have a much bigger agenda, which is they want to eliminate tax havens globally. They want to get to the point where everybody on Earth, whatever wealth they have, the government knows exactly how much you have. They know exactly where you got it and who you got it from, to the penny, on the date, tracking every transaction that ever occurred, that allowed you to have anything.

They will tell you that in order to protect everyone from terrorism, it’s necessary for them to know that information. I think that they will set out to build a global payment system, a global currency system, which is designed to achieve that goal of the government knows every penny of wealth that exists on Earth, who owns it, where they got it from, who gave it to them and why.

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