TIP353: THE BEST PERFORMING ASSET IS NOT BITCOIN

W/ MARIN KATUSA

12 June 2021

In this week’s episode, Trey Lockerbie sits down with NYT best-selling author and investor, Marin Katusa. Marin is a contrarian value investor who specializes in gold, uranium, rare earth, and most recently, carbon credits.

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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

  • How we should view the recent performance of gold and silver, as inflation starts to rise
  • How uranium is an asymmetric opportunity but comes with a lot of nuances 
  • How Carbon Credits are the best-performing asset class of the last 3 years and why Marin thinks the opportunity is over $16 trillion
  • How America’s golden age is still ahead

TRANSCRIPT

Disclaimer: The transcript that follows has been generated using artificial intelligence. We strive to be as accurate as possible, but minor errors and slightly off timestamps may be present due to platform differences.

Trey Lockerbie (00:00:02):

On today’s episode, we welcome back New York Times bestselling author and investor, Marin Katusa. Marin is a contrarian value investor who specializes in gold, uranium, rare earths, and most recently, carbon credits. In this episode, we cover how we should view the recent performance of gold and silver as inflation starts to rise, how uranium is an asymmetric opportunity but comes with a lot of nuance, how carbon credits are the best performing asset of the last three years, and why Marin thinks that this opportunity is worth over $16 trillion. And ultimately we cover how America’s golden age is still ahead. Marin is a wealth of knowledge and experience and I learned a ton from this very fun and wide-ranging discussion. So without further ado, sit back and enjoy my chat with Marin Katusa.

Intro (00:00:55):

You are listening to The Investor’s Podcast where we study the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most. We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.

Trey Lockerbie (00:01:15):

Welcome to The Investor’s Podcast. I’m your host, Trey Lockerbie. And today I’m super excited to welcome back to the show a fan favorite, Marin Katusa. Marin, always a pleasure. Thanks for coming on the show.

Marin Katusa (00:01:27):

That’s my pleasure.

Trey Lockerbie (00:01:29):

One of the reasons we love having you on Marin is that there’s always just a wealth of knowledge that you bring to the table, and it’s always such a wide-ranging discussion, and today’s no different. There’s a lot to cover and I want to go ahead and dig right in. One of the most interesting headlines I think we’ve seen recently is the US Bureau of Labor statistics releasing some new CPI numbers, and the CPI has risen 4.2% over the last year. So, given your knowledge in the gold and silver markets, I just wanted to take the opportunity to ask you about what your stance on those metals looks like right now and if you’ve been expecting maybe better performance out of them lately.

Marin Katusa (00:02:07):

As my subscribers know, when you have such a lockdown and so much pent-up demand, you look at what’s going on with copper, with lumber. So many sectors are hitting it and people are going, well, what about gold and silver? I remind everyone that $1,800 gold is a phenomenal price for me and the company that I’m heavily invested in. And I get it. People want the two-handle because the four-handle and CPI came and 2000 is better than 1800. I agree. But when your all-in sustaining cost is 8,900 and you have 100% margins, that’s a pretty good business to be in. So yes, the investors want Bitcoin-like returns and they want that action.

Marin Katusa (00:02:54):

But mining is the… Remember, gold is the oldest currency in the world. So it moves a lot slower and it’s much more global. There’s 186 mines, for example, with over 2 million ounces. It’s everywhere and it’s a big business. Same as silver. Silver’s not as much of a currency metal like gold is because over half is used for the industrial uses. So it’s got one foot in the industrial sector and one foot in the precious metal. So you would expect silver to be doing better than it is. But from a gold perspective, it’s fantastic where it is from a free cash flow standpoint if you’re invested in the right producers.

Trey Lockerbie (00:03:34):

And speaking of the right producers, one of the most interesting things I think we’ve seen in the last year was Berkshire Hathaway taking a position in Barrick’s Gold, but then also selling it shortly thereafter. Do you have any insight as to that company in particular and what that turnaround looked like for them?

Marin Katusa (00:03:51):

Yeah. Look, Barrick is run by Mark Bristow. He’s kind of a big personality in the business. And when that happened, I said, “Guys, Warren Buffett is just a businessman. He’s buying value and he’s going to sell it when he catches that value.” The gold investors used that as here it is. We finally got Warren Buffett. And Warren Buffett does what Warren Buffett does, which is make money. And that’s what I got to remind everyone getting in the gold world. And I get so much hate, Trey, from this. People are like, you don’t believe in the conspiracy theories that Goldman Sachs and the fed are suppressing gold. Guys, it’s just a business, just like anything else. And it’s about margins and it’s about free cash flow and it’s about dividends.

Marin Katusa (00:04:35):

Do I own Barrick? No, I think there’s better places to be. Do I think it’s a great company? Yes. But that’s not what I do. They’re the biggest gold market cap, them and Newmont, number one and two battling for that throne. But I think there’s easier places to make money that are cheaper because if you’re the big ETFs that want that 5% exposure to gold, Barrick and Newmont are the easy way to play it. Franco-Nevada, the world’s largest precious metal royalty and streaming company, and Silver Wheaton, they’re now called Wheaton Precious. Those are the easy ways to play. So they carry a higher premium than the not-so-known multi-billion dollar market cap companies that are on their way to produce a million ounces. That’s the sweet spot where the value investor should be looking at just before the big money comes in and starts overvaluing the deals.

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