BTC076: FINDING ASYMMETRIC INVESTMENTS

W / BILL MILLER IV

3 May 2022

This week, Preston Pysh talks with Bill Miller IV about finding asymmetric investments like Bitcoin, and much, much more!

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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

  • Bill’s overall thoughts on the current market conditions.
  • How Bill and his father first found Bitcoin.
  • Why Bill found Bitcoin to be an asymmetric investment.
  • Thoughts on Musk buying Twitter.
  • Bitcoin vs Crypto.
  • Concentrated investing and why it’s important.
  • Mean / Variance Portfolio Theorem.
  • Margin and investing.
  • Finding big trends in markets.

TRANSCRIPT

Disclaimer: The transcript that follows has been generated using artificial intelligence. We strive to be as accurate as possible, but minor errors and slightly off timestamps may be present due to platform differences.

Preston Pysh (00:03):

Hey, everyone. Welcome to this Wednesday’s release of the podcast where we’re talking about Bitcoin. Today’s guest is a longtime friend and fellow Bitcoiner, Bill Miller IV. We’ve had Bill Miller Sr. on the show numerous times in the past, but never his fellow portfolio manager and son. During our conversation, Bill explains how him and his father first got into Bitcoin in 2013, haven’t sold a single coin since, some of his thoughts on the broader markets handling inflation, Bitcoin versus crypto, sage advice that he’s learned through the years, and much, much more. So without further delay, here’s my chat with Bill Miller.

Intro (00:41):

You are listening to Bitcoin Fundamentals by The Investor’s Podcast Network. Now, for your host, Preston Pysh.

Preston Pysh (00:59):

Hey, everyone. Welcome to the show. Like I said in the introduction, I’m here with Bill Miller. Bill, we’ve been talking for years now and it is about time we actually had a recorded conversation. So I’m excited to be doing this finally.

Bill Miller IV (01:13):

Me too, man. That makes two of us. Thanks for having me on.

Preston Pysh (01:16):

Yeah. Man, it’s about time. So let’s just start with the overall markets, because there’s so much happening right now that, holy moly, I mean, the currencies. Let’s just start there. So when I’m looking at various currency charts, the DXY, the dollar is just ripping, absolutely ripping. And it’s not like the dollar is ripping and you got all these other currencies that are about halfway through their move.

Preston Pysh (01:43):

It appears like a lot of these other currencies, the Japanese yen, the yuan, the euro, any major currency appears to be stopping out at whatever previous limitation that we saw against the dollar in previous currency cycles. And I guess for me, when I’m looking at this and I’m looking at the Fed getting ready to go into a 50 basis point hike, I’m thinking to myself, how in the world can in the backdrop of that, like over in Japan, you got them still doing yield curve control, how in the world is the market going to be able to handle this moving forward?

Bill Miller IV (02:25):

So, first of all, I’m not a currency expert. Let’s start with that. But with the Fed starting to raise rates and you’d expect, I guess, the dollar to be getting stronger there with everyone else dumping currencies or dumping fuel on the fires in their neighborhoods as well.

Preston Pysh (02:40):

Yeah.

Bill Miller IV (02:41):

But it’s a really interesting setup, I’d say, macroeconomically here. I mean, if you think about what’s going on with rates, what’s going on with the housing market, what’s going on with inflation and prices. I mean, seeing a 40 year high in inflation, job markets on fire, people can’t get enough housing. Now, the Fed’s starting to raise rates. I mean, you wonder how it’s going to resolve, the situation’s going to resolve itself when you’re looking at… Mortgage rates have made a dramatic move here over the past just couple months.

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BOOKS AND RESOURCES

  • Miller Value Partners.
  • Bill’s book recommendation: The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel.
  • New to the show? Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs.
  • Are you looking to start investing? Check out our article on How to Invest in Stocks: The Ultimate Guide for Beginners.
  • Get in early on medical technology, breakthroughs in ag tech and food production, solutions in the multi-billion dollar robotic industry, and so much more with a FREE OurCrowd account. Open yours today.
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  • Buying or selling Gold is as easy as buying a stock with Vaulted. No minimum investment required.
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  • Get the most from your bitcoin while holding your own keys with Unchained Capital. Begin the concierge onboarding process on their site. At the checkout, get $50 off with the promo code FUNDAMENTALS.
  • Provide future financial protection to the people who matter most to you with the help of TD Term Life Insurance.
  • Live local in Melbourne and enjoy $0 Stamp Duty*!
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  • Confidently take control of your online world without worrying about viruses, phishing attacks, ransomware, hacking attempts, and other cybercrimes with Avast One.
  • Invest in crypto and trade it without tax headaches with AltoIRA.
  • Balancing opportunity and risk? The golden answer can be literally gold! Start your investment journey today with Perth Mint.
  • Gain the skills you need to move your career a level up when you enroll in a Swinburne Online Business Degree. Search Swinburne Online today.
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  • Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.

*Disclosure: The Investor’s Podcast Network is an Amazon Associate. We may earn commission from qualifying purchases made through our affiliate links.

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